Nifty for 16 May 08

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

It was suggested to maintain uneasy longs while adhering to strict stops. Readers who would have followed that suggestion would now be extremely comfortable and sitting on a small nest of profits.

Even though the sentiment is mildly positive, nevertheless, it is not one of reckless abandon. Therefore, depending on the trading time frame of individual readers, it is suggested to keep raising trailing stops to lock in profits.

We may have a couple of up days next week, and then we could see a correction. As of now, this anticipated dip may be utilised to buy.

Trade happy after planning your trade.

Nifty for 14 May 08

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

The short term bullish pattern is still holding. As mentioned yesterday, for this pattern to be validated, the market should move above 5066 and not violate the low of 4913.

The sentiment is creeping up, but not too convincingly.

Readers who have guts of steel could hazard buying at this stage. For those who venture to buy, we could place the stop at a close below 4940. Also a trailing stop to exit may be maintained at 4912. These stops may be adhered to ruthlessly.

It is only the IT sector which is really propping the Index up, due to the sops for the sector and also the rising dollar against the Rupee.

Trade happy after planning your trade.

Nifty for 13 May 08

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

The market moved exactly the reverse of what was anticipated for today. It opened with an upside gap, and then steadily lost ground through the day. The net result however, is almost the same. There seems to be a short term bullish pattern emerging. For this pattern to be validated, the market should move above 5066 and not violate the low of 4913.

In such a case, a short term bullish scenario may be utilised to buy. This is purely from the technical point of view. However, from a personal view, I am not too convinced about the anticipated formation of the bullish pattern. We may see further profit booking at higher levels. As a result, we may see further weakness in the stocks, even though the Index may show bullish signs.

Therefore, I may suggest extreme caution at this stage.

We have revised the orange band slightly to accommodate the new data from the market. During times of uncertainty, it is always advisable to stay away rather than burn holes in the pocket.

Trade happy after planning your trade.