Nifty for 13 Dec 07

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

As was suggested yesterday, we are approaching a cluster of time cycle between 13 to 16 December. It does seem that the market has made a short term top today.

This up and down roller coaster could continue till 21 December.

From a trading perspective, the trailing stop is marked out on the chart. This could be used by readers to lock in profits. This is not an invitation to short. As was suggested some time earlier, let us learn to trade with the trend. Normally at this time of the year, the big players are planning on taking their Christmas vacation.

This leaves markets all over the world, vulnerable to manipulation on small volumes. Therefore, it may be advisable to sit on the sidelines till the “warehousing” fever starts, where our local players begin to accumulate stocks in the anticipation that the FIIs would start their activities after the New Year.

Trade happy after planning your trade.

Nifty for 12 Dec 07

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

As was suggested yesterday, there was some panic buttons hit on the open, with a gap down opening. However, the market was resilient enough to recover right from the word go, and has hit a short term objective which we have been seeing on my charts for a long time.

When a mathematical objective is achieved, it is logical to seek the next probable objective. That falls around the 6400 to 6450 levels. The time cycle of 13 to 16 December is just around the corner. Therefore, we as traders should remain on guard for some volatility.

Maybe … the market may make a short term top around these dates.

The Nifty still does not seem to have peaked. We could retain our long term bullish outlook, and it may be suggested to buy on dips.

Trade happy after planning your trade.

Nifty for 11 Dec 07

These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

It was suggested precisely a week back that the market is waiting for the news based event viz. the expected rate cut in the USA. And during this week, the market is playing itself out, discounting the expected event. When the news comes in, we can expect one of two things.

The rate cut happens.

The rate cut does not happen.

If the rate cut happens, the market has already expected it and has already factored that expectation in the price. In that case, it will be business as usual. We can expect some profit booking to the “expected” news.

However, if it does not happen, then we can expect some panic buttons to be hit. In such a scenario, it is always advisable to keep tight stops.

It was also suggested last week that …. “we have a short term time cycle falling tomorrow i.e. 5 December. A longer term cycle falls between 13 and 16 December. Let us wait and watch and see what the Index does on these days”.

Maybe … the market may make a short term top around these dates.

The last word. The Nifty still does not seem to have peaked. In such a case, we could retain our long term bullish outlook, and it may be suggested to buy on dips.

Trade happy after planning your trade.