Friday, January 04, 2008

Nifty for 04 Jan 08



These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

On the last post of the last year, I had mentioned that the Nifty may achieve just 6245. However, as is apparent on the chart, it paused very slightly on that level and then just rushed through.

In any case, it is still hovering around that 6245 level. We see huge sector rotation happening. The Bank Nifty was correcting in a small way today. The CNXIT index is truly weak, while other sectors were pushing the Index up to new heights.

Mainly led by the Metals and the Oil and Gas sectors. The manner in which the Index has shot up today suggests that the next range of targets is not far away. Yet, at this stage, I would inject a word of caution. The Index is showing greater than normal volatility. The reason for this seems the profit booking is on in various sectors. This could burn a few holes in short term trader’s pockets.

On the other hand, from a really longer term perspective, if this rising triangle breaks out, the sky is the limit for the Nifty. Well not exactly the sky, but we could see the 8000 mark on the Index.

Trade happy after planning your trade.

Monday, December 31, 2007

Nifty for 31 Dec 07


These are my personal musings. These are not in any way meant to be trading advise. To view the full chart, right click and open in a new window.

It has been quite some time since I last posted. In my last post, it was suggested the market could make a short term top due to the cluster of time cycle between 13 to 16 December. It did.

It was also suggested that an up and down roller coaster could continue till 21 December. It did.

Also, as was suggested, that the “warehousing fever” could start around the last week of this month. It did.

It is reward enough for this humble analyst that readers could have made opportune exits and then re-entries based on my earlier suggestions. Looking ahead, the market is pausing at a previous target which provided resistance earlier too.

The market is now poised delicately. It does seem that the previous top will be broken. How far will it break? This time I do not anticipate a large margin. The anticipated level it could achieve is 6245. After that we could see a correction. Be on guard.

Have a good year ahead. Not a greedy one.

Trade happy after planning your trade.